Friday, November 10, 2006

While the rest of the US will be discussing the Democratic victories that
secured a House majority and a potential Senate majority, most online poker
players will be discussing a single victory; the one that unseated 30 year
incumbent Republican Jim Leach. Leach was the sponsor of the House bill that
became the Unlawful Internet Gaming Enforcement Act. With his stated goals
of "protecting American families" and addressing a "national security
concern," Leach introduced HR 4411. In a 51% to 49% victory, political
science professor Dave Loebsack defeated the longtime Republican Congressman
from Iowa. In the legislative world, Leach was considered one of the four
horsemen of the online gaming apocalypse. Riding with his other anti-online
gambling proponents, Senator Bill Frist, Congressman Bob Goodlatte, and
Senator Jon Kyl, Leach was considered the most vulnerable for re-election.
Senate Majority Leader Bill Frist tried a number of ploys to sneak HR 4411
into "must pass" legislation. After failing to tie it into a Defense
Department bill authorizing military operations, Frist was finally
successful tagging it onto the Safe Ports bill. Bill Frist chose not to run
this year. Many speculated he had planned the respite to launch his 2008
presidential bid. It was believed that Frist's actions on HR 4411 were
specifically orchestrated to cater to the small, but powerful, conservative
right. Interpreting yesterday's election results, however, Frist may have
ingratiated himself with a political niche that will have diminished
influence in securing a 2008 presidency. Republican Virginia Congressman Bob
Goodlatte was almost assured his victory this year as he ran without a
Democratic opponent. Goodlatte was the sponsor of HR 4777, the Internet
Gaming Prohibition Act and joined forces with Leach to spearhead the passage
of HR 4411. "I have been continuously committed to putting an end to
gambling on the Internet," Goodlatte said. "For too long our children have
been placed in harm's way as online gambling has been permitted to flourish
into a $12 billion industry. The Internet Gambling Prohibition Act brings
the current ban against interstate gambling up to speed with the development
of new technology."

When HR 4411 passed in the House, Arizona Senator Jon Kyl said, "For more
than a decade, I have fought for legislation to enforce Internet gambling
prohibitions. Today's action in the House is a very encouraging step, and I
will work with my colleagues to explore all ways to move this much-needed
legislation through the Senate this year." Kyl was good to his word. Kyle's
re-election bid was almost never in jeopardy this year as he consistently
led his opponent Jim Pederson in the polls; sometimes by more than eighteen
percentage points. Kyl was re-elected by a margin of 53% to 44%.

While Leach may have been the most vulnerable of the anti-online gaming
contingent, his defeat was still considered something of an upset. Although
the race was tight, Leach never trailed his opponent in the polls prior to
the election. Some of the Republicans facing defeat this morning are those
that can blame their strong conservative ties to the Bush administration.
Leach, however, was perceived to be a moderate Republican, positioning
himself as pro-choice and voting against the 2003 Bush tax cuts and the Iraq
war resolution. One has to wonder if the online gaming vote helped edge
Leach onto the rail.